As the Scenario Planning Service's (SPS) key deliverable, this in-depth report defines and tracks the critical assumptions behind our medium and long-term views on worldwide oil and natural gas supply, demand, and price projections. It lays out the alternative scenarios around some of those key assumptions, detailing high and low boundary cases that reflect a plausible range of price uncertainty.
This year’s Guidebook emphasizes how shale growth and MENA instability continue to provide uncertainty. Of course, demand-side uncertainties — driven by economic growth, technology, and policy — have not disappeared. We also closely examine "Peak Demand," a case which outlines the implications of a much weaker oil demand outlook. On the gas side we pursue the implications if our assumptions prove to be correct but oil prices are much lower than anticipated.
The Guidebook and SPS's other features provide the insight necessary to manage your business in 2014 and beyond.