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PIRA'S GLOBAL POLITICAL RISK SERVICE |
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Overview |
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Global Political Risk Service
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Launch online prospectus in PDF
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A retainer service that identifies and tracks the impact of political risks on global energy supply and demand.
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Global energy markets have become dangerously exposed to
political and security risks. Understanding the
possibility and likelihood of changes to supply and
demand due to political unrest is now critical to
determining the short-term direction of the oil, natural gas/LNG,
and coal markets. At the same time, political
developments around the world impact the strategic
environment in which companies operate. Identifying
emerging trends — such as Chinese overseas investment
patterns, royalty regime changes, and U.S. Congressional
policy direction — is essential to developing investment
strategies.
PIRA has established its reputation through 30 years of
tireless analysis and detailed knowledge of the
fundamentals behind the market supply and demand data.
An increasing portion of our time is devoted to
political assessments and integrating those assessments
into our analysis. In our Reference Case, we put forward
our most likely assessment, but there are inherent
political uncertainties that need continuous monitoring
and analysis. A supplement to the core retainers
— it is included at no extra charge with the Global Oil
Retainer —
the Global Political Risk Service (GPRS) identifies and
tracks political risks in major energy-producing and -consuming countries in a way that
helps clients modify and adjust their trading and
business strategies in a timely manner. At the same
time, GPRS provides in-depth analysis of emerging
political,
regulatory and investment trends that will alter the
investment climate well before the rest of the industry
reports on it.
GPRS answers the following questions:
- What are the key political risks in major
producing countries?
- What are key emerging trends that can
alter the energy investment climate?
- What is the outlook for meaningful policy
changes in consuming countries?
- Is the market over- (or under-) reacting
to the risk of supply or demand changes?
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The Global Political Risk Service is
consistent with PIRA's no-nonsense approach to market
analysis. In addition, GPRS has:
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Unique Insight from the Experts
The GPRS Advisory Board |
PIRA has staffed
GPRS with
highly qualified consultants,
but in order to provide even more
substance to our retainer material,
we rely on the GPRS Advisory Board.
The Board provides expert
perspective, infusing the service
with real-world experience and
proven credibility. The members
currently include:
Dr. Larry Diamond, Hoover
Institution, Stanford University
Dr. Gary Sick, Columbia
University, former NSC expert on
Iran
Dr. Martha Brill Olcott,
Senior Associate, Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace
For more complete bios, click
here. |
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- Energy Market Focus
We do not limit our analysis to the
macro-political or -economic implications of
particular events. GPRS takes the analysis a
step further to focus on how world events
specifically impact the energy market,
quantifying, where possible, the amount of
supply and demand at risk, along with an
assessment of probabilities.
- Ahead-of-the-Curve Analysis on
Trends
We are constantly identifying emerging trends
that impact energy markets and investment
strategies well before they are covered by other
industry and mainstream sources.
- Just-in-Time Analysis
Some consultants only focus on the long-term
impacts of political developments. While we
outline longer-term trends and scenarios, GPRS
emphasizes near-term developments and
possibilities, offering just-in-time information
that anticipates the headlines and
instantaneously analyzes their market impact and
investment implications.
- Unique Analysis from Well Respected
and Connected Experts
Most companies depend on widely circulated press
reports for their information; GPRS draws on the
unique expertise and insight of experienced and
well respected
in-house consultants
and
outside advisors
with unparalleled access to key information
sources as well as in-depth knowledge of, and
on-the-ground experience in, the Middle East,
the former Soviet Union, Asia, Africa and Latin
America.
- Continuous News Monitoring
We constantly search and monitor news resources
for breaking news and important updates to keep
you informed of developments and minimize the
time you must spend sifting through news.
- Reliable Fact-Checking
Most companies have limited access to
policymakers and on-the-ground sources. GPRS has
an extensive contact base in Washington and
around the world that allows us to quickly
confirm or correct market rumors.
WHO BENEFITS FROM GRPS
Market participants may be on either side of
million-dollar deals in the production, storage,
trade, transport and end-use for oil and gas.
Changes to supply and demand drastically affect
their business decisions; therefore, identifying
the potential for changes to supply and demand
is critical to determining the near- and
longer-term direction of the oil and natural gas
markets. All companies — oil and natural
gas traders, producers, consumers, marketers,
pipelines, shipping companies, as well as
financial institutions and hedge funds
— can benefit from reliable tracking of the
global political and security factors
influencing near-term price movements as well as
longer-term supply and demand estimates.
PIRA has always been recognized for providing a
clear, quantitative best estimate of where
energy markets are headed, near and longer term.
That approach will not change. However, we
understand that comprehensive analysis of the
current oil and gas markets requires tracking
and reporting on the risk factors that move the
market beyond the range that strict supply and
demand fundamentals would suggest.
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